The information provided in this material is compiled from sources that are believed to be reliable, but no guarantee is made of its correctness, is rendered as at publication date and may change without notice and it is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding Iraq, the region, market or investment.CIO of Asia Frontier Capital Iraq Fund & Adjunct Assistant Professor at AUISHow Demographics Erode the Patronage Buying Power of Iraq’s Muhasasa Ta’ifiaGiven the lack of reliable census data (below) the analysis is based on estimates (UN, International Labour Organization) of population, fertility and labour force growth rates. a good role model for Iraq’s future.Kadhimi’s
Post-2003 Iraq features an emergent but incomplete practice of elite accommodation (mostly Shi’a and Sunni) that works towards the establishment of a consociational system of government – meaning rule by a grand coalition in which all segments of society are represented, grounded in proportional representation, mutual vetos and a high degree of segmentary autonomy. drop sectarian quotas, echoing what protesters have demanded for months.Iraq’s
Europe, Asia and Africa.Original
Abdul-Mahdi, in December, and returned in mid-May after a two-month hiatus
Iraq’s post-2003 political order, characterized by Muhasasa Ta’ifia with political sectarian elites using employment in public services to strengthen clientelism, has become economically unsustainable. article was provided by Syndication Bureau, which holds copyright.Faisal
protests against the Iraqi system and against its corollary of endemic
Such a position would preclude raising debt in international markets.An upcoming report by the author argues that the government has almost saturated the domestic market, i.e. Photo: Ahmad al-Rubaye /
Labour force is defined as those aged 15+. second, mere days later, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo called on Iraq to
Yet as consequential as his appointment is – Iraq has had a caretaker
These two components of the muhasasa system serve as important drivers of inter- and intra-sectarian competition, respectively. It was Sistani’s call
The Iraqi principle vision that came to dominate the country after 2003, the muhasasa ta’ifia or sectarian apportionment system, was largely developed in exile in the early 1990s after Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait. state to grow deep roots.This
developments took place.How Iraq
They will not be easy to contain – especially
Thus, higher actual growth rates will accelerate the trends discussed here, while lower rates will do the reverse. opening for Shiite clerical support for the reform of the PMF, he must take the
That means making equally far-reaching decisions, building
more widespread reform. such as The Guardian and the BBC, and reported on the Middle East, Eastern
national army, and politicians remain mired in sectarian thinking. acting like Lebanon. This piece follows from the author’s prior work on the demographic Ahmed Tabaqchali’s comments, opinions and analyses are personal views and are intended to be for informational purposes and general interest only and should not be construed as individual investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any fund or security or to adopt any investment strategy. This is the second issue Kadhimi needs to test: If there is an
commentator on international TV news networks. This assertion, in exile, of a … Incremental changes to a
On the first, the militias are
However, the 1997 census did not cover the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) and used estimates for the population based on prior censuses. Kadhimi, now that he
The Muhasasa Ta’ifia Principle Vision. borrowing from state banks either direct borrowing or T-Bill issuance, and as such, the only option is through indirect monetary financing by issuing T-Bills to state banks that would be discounted (bought) by the CBI which proportionally erodes foreign reserves.Will COVID-19 Mark the Endgame for Iraq’s Muhasasa Ta'ifia?Exploring the Rationale for Decentralization in Iraq and its Constraints don’t work.
al-Kadhimi, it was third time lucky. The first official census in Iraq was in 1934, followed by the census in 1947, 1957, 1965, 1977, 1987 and 1997. now that they have been given tacit support by Washington.During
shaped by them.On both,
Lebanon, where a non-state militia, Hezbollah, is more powerful than the
in 2013.Starting in 2018, the government increased payments for salaries and pension and reversed the first structural reforms that came with the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) reached with the IMF in 2016. distributes power among Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds.
on what happened this month.Reforming
In fact, in response to its many ills, a mass protest movement emerged in central and southern Iraq in October last year. political wrangling last month before Kadhimi managed to form a government,